Model as Revolt: Inference as Resistance ๐Ÿ› ๏ธ๐Ÿ“ข๐Ÿ“Š#

โ€œWhat if the tool is the protest?โ€


โ€œWhen truth is dismissed, inference becomes insubordination.โ€


Models are often framed as neutral instruments. But in reality, the decision to modelโ€”to simulate, quantify, visualizeโ€”is sometimes an act of resistance.

Especially when:

  • Systems pretend no problem exists

  • Institutions erase specific harms

  • Populations are denied voice or complexity

In such cases, modeling becomes revolt.


๐Ÿงฌ Examples of Modeling as Protest#

  • Black maternal mortality risk modeled despite being minimized in dominant policy discourse

  • Climate modeling by small island states to counter industrial narratives

  • Incarceration projection tools used by activists to anticipate harmful legislation

  • Community-level epidemiology created by indigenous researchers in data-hostile environments

These models say:

โ€œYou wonโ€™t listen to stories? Fine. Hereโ€™s a number.โ€


๐Ÿ” The Hidden Politics of Inference#

Every model asks:

  • What is worth predicting?

  • Who deserves granularity?

  • Which subgroups matter enough to disaggregate?

To ask these questions, and build accordingly, is resistance by architecture.


๐Ÿง  Back to Ukubona#

Ukubona arose from a refusal:

A refusal to pretend that older kidney donors are the same as younger ones
A refusal to treat โ€œCKD Stage 3โ€ as the same across all contexts
A refusal to ignore frailty, social context, uncertainty

The model is not rebellion in tone.
It is rebellion in existence.


๐Ÿ”„ When Tools Are Denied#

Often, modeling becomes resistance precisely because it is denied:

  • โ€œYou donโ€™t need that subgroup breakdown.โ€

  • โ€œThereโ€™s no data on that.โ€

  • โ€œThe sample size is too small to matter.โ€

  • โ€œYouโ€™ll confuse the user if you show uncertainty.โ€

These are not technical statements. They are acts of erasure.


๐Ÿ›  Modeling as Memory#

Inference is also a form of memory.

  • It keeps count of what the system forgets

  • It tracks whatโ€™s underreported

  • It shows what might have happened if someone had cared

When systems forget people,
models become their record keepers.


Next: Co-opted Clarity โ€“ When Visibility Punishes
The final chapter in Truth as Weapon.